Trump on American death toll
April 10 – & # 39; & # 39; The minimum number was 100,000 lives, and I think we will be substantially below that number, & # 39; he said April 10. & # 39; Hard to believe that if you had 60,000 – you could never be happy, but that is far less than we were originally told and thought. & # 39;
April 20 – & # 39; Now, we're going to 50-, I hear, like 60,000 people, & # 39; he continued. & # 39; One is too much. I always say that. One is too many. But we go to 50- or 60,000 people. & # 39;
Deaths from US coronavirus have surpassed 60,000 – a figure President Trump has touted earlier as a potential last toll.
The president has often predicted how many Americans will die before the disease finally disappears.
Now, Trump is trying to make a virtue of a lower number than the projections of & # 39; worst cases of health officials, claiming that his administration's efforts awaited a far greater cause of death than would have been seen.
But the reported US death toll on Wednesday crept past 60,000, a figure that Trump had suggested in recent weeks could be the total death toll.
He had cited the estimate as a sign of relative success after the White House previously warned that the U.S. could suffer 100,000 to 240,000 deaths.
The US death toll from COVID-19 is sure to grow from here to suffer the country's # 2 consecutive days of more than 2,000 deaths.
On Wednesday, the FS registered another 2,389 coronavirus deaths after a brief silence in new deaths.
The national death toll is now at least 61,568 with 1,065,245 confirmed cases.
Daily deaths were down in recent days, dropped below 2,000 on Saturday, and continued to fall on Sunday and Monday.
Newly registered deaths fell to 1,315 on Monday, the first time daily deaths in the US have been this low since April 5.
But it started to climb again on Tuesday and Wednesday, as new reports said. Cases spiked Wednesday with 28,259 new infections.
And, like the unemployment rate, the number of deaths will also be redone – and probably up, because of underreporting. The focus on death rates also looks at other important markers such as immunity levels and infection rates.
President Trump yesterday joined a roundtable with & # 39; industry operators on the plan for & # 39; Open America again & # 39; in & # 39; e State Dining Room of the White House in Washington yesterday
Trump has also repeatedly used the outer band of any estimate – the potential that 2.2 million Americans could have died had there been no interventions – to try to make his case with power.
Kathleen Hall Jamieson, director of the Annenberg Public Policy Center at & # 39; the University of Pennsylvania, said it is simplistic for Trump as other public officials to focus on & # 39; e cause of death since it is incomplete. Cases that were not originally classified as COVID-19 could be added at a later date.
& # 39; The problem is that you look at the number on your television screen and really see the number, & # 39; she said. & # 39; What you don't have is that number should be next to an asterisk. & # 39;
Dr Deborah Birx, co-ordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, on March 29 released public models projecting the deaths of 100.00 to 240,000 Americans, assuming that social distances persisted.
At the same time, they said that epidemiological models initially predicted the worst cases of 1.5 million to 2.2 million American deaths without mitigation efforts such as social distance, hand washing and staying home as much as possible.
Soon, Trump began to speculate that the 100,000 figure was an outside limit,. Later, he leaned more toward a projection of 60,000.
& # 39; The minimum number was 100,000 lives, and I think we are substantially below that number, & # 39; he said April 10. & # 39; Hard to believe that if you had 60,000 – you could never be happy, but that's much less than we were originally told and thinking. & # 39;
Trump questions his remarks by saying that even one death is too much, but he also appeared relieved at the idea of a toll of 60,000.
That's more in a matter of months than the 58,220 US military deaths during the Vietnam War, but far below the 675,000 deaths from the 1918 flu pandemic that Trump often cites.
Trump has used the 2.2. million estimates of & # 39; death to suggest he saved millions of lives through leadership that he and other officials of & # 39; e administration say & # 39; was & # 39; decisive & # 39 ;.
His actions have been challenged by state, local and public health officials who have complained about lack of supply and safety testing for physicians and nurses.
Trump often cites travel restrictions from China, where the virus originated, and from Europe, where it did not take hold before he exploded in the US, as one of his most important first steps.
& # 39; We did the right thing, because if we didn't, you would have a million people, a million and a half people, maybe 2 million people dead, & # 39; said the president on April 20.
& # 39; Now, we're going to 50-, I hear, like 60,000 people, & # 39; he continued. & # 39; One is too much. I always say that. One is too many. But we go to 50- or 60,000 people. & # 39;
Trump on Monday offered a tested estimate when he was asked if he deserved a second term with a cause of death similar to American lives lost in Vietnam.
& # 39; Yes, we have lost a lot of people, & # 39; he said in the Rose Garden. & # 39; But if you look at what original projections were – 2.2 million – we'll probably go to 60,000, 70,000. It's far too much. One person is too much for this. & # 39;
Calvin Jillson, a presidential candidate at & # 39; Southern Methodist University, contrasts Trump's public talk of death tolls against & # 39; e reluctance of administration and military officials to discuss the body positions of Vietnam War.
Jillson said Trump doesn't realize the numbers will always & # 39; turn negative at some point & # 39; and that the way he talks about & # 39; the death tally suggests a lack of empathy.
& # 39; It highlights how rarely he will actually talk about these numbers as people, as lovers, as fellow Americans, when people are no longer with us, & # 39; said Jillson. & # 39; That's natural for a politician whose share in & # 39; e trade is to make the public feel and empathize with them. & # 39;
The White House opposed any public announcement of a potential death toll until Birx and other experts unveiled their own model of expected costs to the nation – both with and without social distancing measures.
Earlier this month, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began posting projections on the number of expected U.S. deaths due to the coronavirus from seven different research teams.
The teams use different types of data and make different assumptions, including about the effects of social distance, use of facial cover, and other measures. The most recent summary showed that model workers predicted a cumulative US death toll of 50,000 to 100,000 in mid-May.
CDC Director Dr Robert Redfield declined to comment Tuesday during an Associated Press interview Tuesday.
& # 39; I use models to try to predict the impact of various interventions. That's really the important thing, & # 39; Redfield said
There could be 22 upcoming COVID-19 hotspots in small cities or rural areas in eight states that lift lockdown restrictions, analysis of social media coronavirus posts shows
There could be up to 22 emerging coronavirus hotspots in small cities and rural counties in eight US states that lift lockdown restrictions, data researchers have found.
An analysis conducted by data firm Dataminr used artificial intelligence to examine social media posts related to coronavirus and predict the smaller areas where infections are set to increase.
The company identified the areas based on clusters of public social media posts that did not directly reference, among other things, first-hand accounts of symptoms, siblings that were infected and supply shortage testing.
The small towns as counties – located in Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas – had all seen an increase in the number of posts on social media related to COVID-19.
There could be a maximum of 22 emerging coronavirus hotspots in small towns and rural counties in eight US states that lift lockdown restrictions, data researchers have found
The areas where the social media clusters were identified did not yet peak in COVID-19 infections, which the analysis suggested might be emerging coronavirus hotspots.
In most cases, the data analysis shows the increase in posts on social media several days before the number of infections began to rise.
It is consistent with CDC warnings that COVID-19 symptoms may appear two to 14 days after exposure to the virus.
The data used in the analysis is only responsible for infections reported until April 21.
In & # 39; a week since, figures have been released regardless of & # 39; show an analysis that infections are spiked in some of the 22 areas.
All eight of the states in which the 22 areas were identified have either canceled, or have not, decided measures related to coronavirus.
In Florida's Volusia County, there are currently 445 infections. Infections increased there last week by 79. The week preceding cases increased by 123. Posts on social media in this area spiked about two weeks before & # 39; cases increased
Vigo County in Indiana currently has 62 infections. It increased last week by just two infections, but rose by 17 the week before. Social media posts grew about two weeks before cases began to spike
In Indiana's Tippecanoe County, there are currently 95 infections. That is an increase of 36 cases in a week. Social media posts spike about a month before infections increase
Summit County, Ohio currently has 542 cases. The number of infections there increased in the last week with 157 and 91 the week before. Cases began to increase in about a week after posts on social media there, according to the data
St. Joseph County in Indiana has 602 infections. Falled last week with 160 and 169 in the week before
Polk County, Florida currently has 457 infections after increasing 101 in a week. Infections spiked about two weeks after an increase in posts on social media
Montgomery County in Ohio has 266 infections after increasing with 29 cases in a week. Infections increased about three weeks after an increase in posts on social media
Monroe County, Indiana currently has 122 infections. The number of cases appeared to increase about three weeks after a spike in posts on social media
Manatee County, Florida now has 563 infections. Infections increased by 120 in the past week and 166 the week before. The number of cases appeared to increase about three weeks after a spike in posts on social media
Lucas County, Ohio currently has 1166 infections. Infections increased last week with 313 and 257 the week before. The infections appeared to spike a week after an increase in posts on social media
Lubbock County, Texas currently has 504 infections. Falls increased by 46 last week and 91 in & # 39; the week before. Cases appeared to spike about three weeks after an increase in posts on social media
Infections in Jefferson County, Texas have increased to 288 infections. They have increased by 74 in two years. Infections appeared to increase about a month after social media posts began to rise
In Jackson County, Michigan, the infections have increased to 342. Cases increased by 62 last week and 85 the week before. Infections seem to increase about a week after social media posts started to increase
In Horry County, infections in South Carolina have now increased to 211. Infections appeared to increase about the same time social media posts began to rise.
THE US STATES THAT DO NOT RE-OPEN:
Montana: Starting May 4th
Missouri: May 4
Maine: Starting May 1st
Ohio: Starting May 1st
Iowa: May 1st
Alabama: As of April 30
Minnesota: As of April 27
Mississippi: As of April 27
Tennessee: Starting April 27
Colorado: As of April 27
Michigan: As of April 24
Alaska: Starting April 24
Georgia: As of April 24
Oklahoma: Starting April 24
South Carolina: As of April 20
Texas: As of April 20th
There are two areas in Georgia that reopened last week, which the analysis says are hotspots.
In Chatham County, infections increased last week by 32. The week before saw 25 new infections.
Clarke County saw an increase in 26 infections last week and 14 new cases the week before.
In Georgia, Gov. Brian Kemp shot one of & # 39; s most aggressive rescheduling plans in & # 39; e FS. Barbershops, gyms and nail salons were allowed to reopen Friday and dinners in restaurant services and movie releases were released Friday to resume Monday – despite warnings that, without sufficient testing, the state could see a rise in infections.
In Charleston County of South Carolina, infections jumped 35 in the last week and 50 the week before.
Greenville County in South Carolina recorded 144 new infections last week and 117 cases the week before.
In Lucas County, Ohio, infections were up 313 last week compared to the 257 cases the week before.
Indiana & # 39; s Joseph County registered 160 new infections last week and 169 a week earlier.
Last month, Dataminr, which tracks real-time data for the United Nations and other companies, correctly predicted 14 states where COVID-19 infections would spike within two weeks.
Chatham County in Georgia currently has 217 infections. The number of cases appears to have risen about a month after not posting on social media posts
Hidalgo County, Texas currently has 310 infections. The number of infections appeared to spike about three weeks after social media posts began to increase
Greenville County, South Carolina currently has 661 infections. The number of infections appears to increase about a week after social media posts appeared to spike
In Escambia County, Florida, the current number of cases is 485. Cases appear to increase about three weeks after the number of social media posts spiked
Clarke County in Georgia currently has 142 infections. The number of infections appeared to spike about two weeks after increasing social media posts
In Charleston County, South Carolina, the number of infections is currently 438.
Bay County, Florida currently has 70 infections. Cases appeared to spike a month after increased social media posts
Hamilton County in Tennessee currently has 149 infections. The number of cases appeared to spike nearly two weeks after social media posts increased
It comes as a number of states – most in the South and Midwest – lift coronavirus restrictions after weeks of mandatory lockdowns that have thrown millions of American workers out of their jobs.
Public health authorities have warned that increasing human interactions and economic activity could spark a new surge of infections, just as social-distancing measures seem to bring coronavirus outbreaks under control.
Home stay orders issued by executives in the US and subsequent decisions to slowly open economies are in the & # 39; in recent weeks turned into heavily loaded political issues, because the shutdowns have hampered the nation's economy.